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Sunday, April 16, 2006

As the discussion continues over the possibility of air strikes against Iran, I think it might be best to determine who exactly will be a part of our new "coalition of the willing". According to this article, Great Britain will not be among them. If that is true, then can we really expect anyone to be with us, except Israel? I think not, which is why I believe we cannot launch a war against Iran without significant public support in this country, and we cannot wage it in a limited fashion. Right now, I don't sense significant public support, and I see absolutely no evidence our policy makers are willing to go all out to defeat the Iranian regime.

Richard Clarke says bombing Iran would backfire. Andrew Sullivan says it is a "lose-lose" situation. Mark Steyn says a policy of waiting until tomorrow won't cut it.

Looking at the wars we are fighting, in Iraq and Afghanistan, Strategypage has encouraging numbers on Army re-enlistments. It seems the people who are actually fighting the wars think they are winning. Unfortunately for them, just like their fathers and grandfathers in Vietnam and Korea, the real war is being fought here at home. If the American people can be convinced that the war is unwinnable, political leaders will withdraw the troops, which will result in defeat (as in Vietnam) or stalemate (as in Korea).

Finally, looking at one of our past wars, this article examines the current political situation in Kosovo. It appears as if the political leaders in Kosovo and Serbia still cannot come to some sort of agreement on a permanent status for the province, which means it is more likely that outside powers will impose a solution, almost certainly giving Kosovo independence.

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