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Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Here is an analysis of the mid-term elections from Sean Trende. He examines polling numbers and historical data and comes to the conclusion that this November could very well be WORSE for the Democrats than 1994. We will have a much better idea, of course, when we get to September and October. How are the job numbers at that point? Our standing in the world, and the general international situation? Will health care be the big issue, or something else? The reason these things are so hard to predict is the same reason why big government programs often cause so many unexpected and unintended consequences, because they are determined by the individual decisions of millions of human beings. Each eligible voter on election day will decide whether or not to go to their polling place, and then cast a ballot, and each will do so for their own reasons, rational or not, emotional or not, carefully considered or not. It is truly an art to understand and predict these things, which is why so few people are really good at it.

Did you know that Texas Congressman and Presidential candidate Ron Paul has a son? Did you know that son, named Rand Paul, is running for U.S. Senate in Kentucky? Here is a story about Rand Paul and the curious coalition he is building in the Bluegrass State.

New polling in Britain shows the Conservatives losing their lead. Once again, the millions will decide, and their verdict will be split.

While U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates does not believe the Iranians will have a nuclear weapon for at least a year, President Obama said the nuclear summit has made the world safer. I hesitate to say that this is one pronouncement that could blow up in his face, because I do not wish to be flippant about something so serious, but it really could blow up in some one's face.

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