THE LAST POLLS

As we enter the last day of campaigning in this presidential election cycle, the last polls show a repeat of 2000. American Research Group of Manchester, NH shows a tie, Kerry 49%, Bush 48% (the one point difference is within the margin of error).

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/presballot/

Zogby also shows a tie, Bush 48%, Kerry 47% (also within the margin of error).

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews922.html

Rasmussen will release it's last poll before election day at 3 PM this afternoon. Yesterday, they also showed a tie, Bush 48%, Kerry 47% (within margin of error, again).

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/index.htm

RealClearPolitics.com is keeping a daily average of the tracking polls. They show Bush and Kerry tied, Bush 48.5%, Kerry 46.8% (since most polls have a 2-4% margin of error, the Bush lead of 1.7% in the average would fall within that margin). Follow the link to view all the tracking polls. Notice that none of the polls gives Kerry an outright, beyond the margin of error lead. Newsweek gives Bush a 6 point margin and TIPP a 5 point margin.