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Friday, July 28, 2006

Hezbollah is trying out some of its longer range missiles, so far without success. Meanwhile, Israeli intelligence believes the leader of Hezbollah is hiding out in the Iranian embassy in Beirut, although there is also information that points to Damascus as his hiding place. If he is in the embassy, and the Israelis hit it, that could widen the war.

Former Secretary of State Warren Christopher says that we should be trying to get an immediate cease-fire. Somehow, I think he still has a September 10 mindset.

Meanwhile, Arab public opinion is forcing the leaders of the so-called moderate Arab states to back away from their earlier criticisms of Hezbollah. Ordinary Arabs are thrilled at the skill and courage of Hezbollah fighters. Ralph Peters picks up on that theme in today's column in the NY Post. Peters argues that the Israeli reliance on airpower is allowing Hezbollah to create the perception of victory. If the war ends with Hezbollah still standing, still armed, and still capable of firing rockets into Israel, then the Israelis will have lost. Millions of Arabs and Muslims across the world will look to Hezbollah as the new model for success in their on-going effort to cleanse the Middle East of the "Zionist entity". That would be a disaster for Israel, and for our on efforts in the so-called "war on terrorism".

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