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Monday, November 03, 2008

One day to go before we elect a new President. The latest RealClearPolitics Electoral Map shows the race a little tighter than it was a week ago, but it still requires one to assume that the polls are wrong to posit a McCain victory. However, as a fun little exercise, I manipulated the map to assume that Obama needs at least a six point lead in the average to win a state (assuming that the polls do not adequately measure anti-Obama sentiment, whether based on racial animosity or not). Thus, any toss-up state that went for Bush last time and has either a tie, a narrow McCain lead, or a narrow Obama lead, under six points, is put in the McCain column. Doing so today leaves a 269-269 electoral vote tie. That would throw the election into the House of Representatives for the first time since the 19th Century. Since the Democrats control the House, Obama would win, of course, but what a civics lesson it would be.

Who is Barack Obama, anyway? Stanley Kurtz believes he is a left-wing radical. Conrad Black agrees, and says Americans are poised to elect him based on ignorance and panic. Pat Buchanan believes he is a socialist.

If Obama wins, Ralph Peters believes he will still face the burden of international leadership.

Over in the U.K., at least one writer thinks Obama will be bad for the world economy.

There is at least one good thing about an Obama victory, though, which is that it will mean the end of Hillary Clinton's quest for the Presidency.

But, it still could turn out differently, and McCain could be the winner. In that event, Bill Kristol has some advice for Liberals.

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