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Friday, October 17, 2008

No more posts on the stock market, as it is clear to me now that anything I write will be old news only minutes after I write it.

I will, however, continue to comment on the election. Check out this piece in The Wall Street Journal about the possibility of a Democratic super majority, and what that might mean for America.

John DiStaso write about the latest in New Hampshire politics for The Union Leader. Today's column points out that New Hampshire is likely to be very close on election night.

Taking a look at the latest RealClearPolitics Electoral Map, things still look good for Obama. But keep in mind that Obama was leading the polls comfortably here in New Hampshire just before our primary, and he lost. I know Obama is keeping it in mind, as he mentioned it during a speech yesterday. Obama is ahead because he is now leading in several states that George W. Bush won twice (North Carolina, Ohio, Nevada, Indiana, Missouri, Florida, Colorado and Virginia), while McCain is not leading in any of the states won by John Kerry in 2004. Are the polls reliable? As we get closer to actually pulling the lever or marking the ballot, will some people who say publicly that they are going to vote for Obama decide not to, as clearly happened here in New Hampshire during our primary? No one knows, and we won't know until the votes are counted. Right now, I still predict a Democratic landslide (driven by larger than normal turnout for Democratic constituencies and the fact that independents will break their way), but the tax issue could still weigh heavily on the minds of some voters, causing them to recoil from giving the Democrats total control.

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