BATTLEGROUND STATE POLLS

Here is one of my favorite web pages. It is from the realclearpolitics.com website. Without a subscription, you can see all sorts of state polling information. It really is shaping up to be a repeat of 2000 if these numbers are right. Averaging a number of state polls together for each state, and calling any lead less than 3 points a tie, we can see Bush leading in Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, Colorado and West Virginia. Kerry leads in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Maine and Oregon. They are tied in Florida, Ohio, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Arkansas and Hawaii. One striking thing about this is that Hawaii was supposed to be solidly in the Kerry column. Gore won Hawaii 56%-37% in 2000.