LATEST NH PRIMARY STUFF

Breaking News....Rasmussen Reports has released it's first daily tracking poll for New Hampshire, and it shows that Obama has surged into a 10-point lead over Clinton, with Obama at 37%, Clinton at 27%, Edwards at 19% and Richardson with 8%. Rasmussen is projecting that 40% of the Democratic ballots will be cast by independent voters. (The story is courtesy of the Union Leader, as I have been unable to get on the Rasmussen site, no doubt the traffic for that site is huge at the moment).

Update...for the GOP Rasmussen now has McCain 31%, Romney 26% in New Hampshire, in a survey conducted Friday night. Ron Paul has 14% and Mike Huckabee has 11%. Giuliani trails with 8% and Thompson has 5%.

Here is a possible explanation for what is going on in the GOP. Essentially, more lower-income voters are Republican-leaning, and they have different priorities than the old country club Republicans (more and more of the country club set are voting Democratic these days, anyway).

Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick makes the case for Barack Obama for President.

Bob Herbert tries to explain the Obama phenomenon.

Peter A. Brown explains why we should be wary of the New Hampshire polls. Here is a summary of those polls, courtesy of RealClearPolitics.

Hillary is booed at the 100 Club dinner here in New Hampshire. A sign, I think, of the passion of the Obama supporters (and, perhaps, a little bit of rudeness, as well).

Bill Kristol thanks Iowa Democratic caucus goers for sticking it to Hillary. Here is the Weekly Standard cover story on the fall of the House of Clinton. As much as I'd like to, though, I'm not counting them out just yet.

Here is the big story that broke yesterday afternoon. The New Hampshire Secretary of State is predicting a record turnout for the primary on Tuesday. He believes 500,000 people will vote, far in excess of the old record of 396,000 set in 1992., with 260,000 voting in the Democratic primary and 240,00 on the GOP side. He says there will be 150,000 independents who will jump in, with 90,000 voting on the Democratic side (35% of total) and 60,000 on the GOP side (25% of total). This is very good news for Obama (and very bad news for Hillary). This is also good news for McCain, but it would be better for him if a larger percentage of independents voted in the GOP primary.