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Saturday, February 02, 2008

Mark Steyn is unhappy that the Presidential ballot in November may end up with the names Clinton and McCain on it (and if one added Bloomberg, he still wouldn't be happy).

Can they go any lower? Probably, but it will be hard to get lower than using mentally-disabled women as suicide bombers.

As the Romney campaign strategizes on how to stay alive in the race, their biggest problem for Tuesday is Mike Huckabee's strength in the South, who faces problems of his own concerning the air of impropriety surrounding his gift-taking while Governor of Arkansas.

Noted Eagle's fan Arlen Specter has resurrected the "Spygate" controversy just before the Super Bowl, which shouldn't make Giants fans very happy, since I think Dan Shaughnessy is correct in his belief that it will simply add fuel to the Patriots' ire.

The job growth streak ends, another sign that we may already be in a recession.

First, the daughter of President Kennedy came out to endorse Obama, now the grandaughter of President Eisenhower does the same. The Clintons must be asking themselves, "Where is Amy Carter now that we need her?"

As for the Presidential polls heading into Super Tuesday, RealClearPolitics is the best place to go for a quick glance at the numbers, but Dave Leip's Presidential Atlas site is another good spot to look at the state-by-state numbers that are available. McCain and Clinton are leading in most states. Still, because the Democrats allocate all their delegates based on Congressional districts in a proportional manner, Obama does not have to split these states with Clinton, just win enough districts within these states to stay in the delegate hunt. On the other hand, Romney faces the possibility of McCain winning all or nearly all the winner-take-all GOP contests in Arizona, Connecticut, Delaware, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, New York and Utah. Only Utah looks like a good bet for Romney. McCain is way ahead in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, he is slightly ahead in Missouri and, of course, Arizona is his home state. I don't know of any publicly available state polls of Montana or Delaware, so I have no read on those states. It looks like a big uphill climb for Romney.

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