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Saturday, November 06, 2004

SOME PEOPLE AT THE GREY LADY GET IT

Yesterday, the New York Times published articles by regular columnists Paul Krugman and Bob Herbert, excerpts of which I've quoted in the post below. Both men just don't understand what's happening to the Democratic Party in national elections. Today the Times has regular columnists Nicholas Kristoff and David Brooks, both of whom DO understand what is happening. Kristoff sees an overseas model for success...the British Labor Party, which, under the leadership of people like Tony Blair, changed it's image from an anti-American, socialist, union-loving, nuclear-freeze party to something more acceptable to the British middle class.

The Democrats need a similar rebranding. But the risk is that the party will blame others for its failures - or, worse, blame the American people for their stupidity (as London's Daily Mirror screamed in a Page 1 headline this week: "How can 59,054,087 people be so DUMB?").
As moderates from the heartland, like Tom Daschle, are picked off by the Republicans, the party's image risks being defined even more by bicoastal, tree-hugging, gun-banning, French-speaking, Bordeau-sipping, Times-toting liberals, whose solution is to veer left and galvanize the base. But firing up the base means turning off swing voters. Gov. Mike Johanns, a Nebraska Republican, told me that each time Michael Moore spoke up for John Kerry, Mr. Kerry's support in Nebraska took a dive.


David Brooks believes the Democrats are learning, once again, the wrong lessons from the election results.

Every election year, we in the commentariat come up with a story line to explain the result, and the story line has to have two features. First, it has to be completely wrong. Second, it has to reassure liberals that they are morally superior to the people who just defeated them.
In past years, the story line has involved Angry White Males, or Willie Horton-bashing racists. This year, the official story is that throngs of homophobic, Red America values-voters surged to the polls to put George Bush over the top. This theory certainly flatters liberals, and it is certainly wrong. Here are the facts. As Andrew Kohut of the Pew Research Center points out, there was no disproportionate surge in the evangelical vote this year. Evangelicals made up the same share of the electorate this year as they did in 2000. There was no increase in the percentage of voters who are pro-life. Sixteen percent of voters said abortions should be illegal in all circumstances. There was no increase in the percentage of voters who say they pray daily.


Brooks says the President won with a broad cross-section of Americans, doing better even in Blue States like New York and Massachusetts than he did in 2000. But, he says, the Democrats are refusing to see the truth.

But the same insularity that caused many liberals to lose touch with the rest of the country now causes them to simplify, misunderstand and condescend to the people who voted for Bush. If you want to understand why Democrats keep losing elections, just listen to some coastal and university town liberals talk about how conformist and intolerant people in Red America are. It makes you wonder: why is it that people who are completely closed-minded talk endlessly about how open-minded they are?

Cool. I've posted a link so you can read both articles.


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