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Sunday, January 06, 2008

Mitt Romney wins the GOP caucuses in Wyoming.

Unfortunately for Mitt, it probably won't given him much of a bounce in the New Hampshire polls. The latest polls, conveniently put together and averaged by the folks at RealClearPolitics, show John McCain in the lead with Romney a few points behind. On the Democratic side, the polls show Barack Obama in the lead, with Hillary trailing.

As this Washington Post story points out, the momentum for Obama here in New Hampshire is being driven by independents, many of whom are relatively recent arrivals. If it were up to the old-line Democratic establishment here, Hillary would be the clear winner. But, it isn't up to them. They are going to have to deal with the fact that thousands of undeclared voters are going to walk into their party and hand them a different winner. The same, of course, is true in the GOP, although this time the Republican establishment here seems to be divided, although leaning toward McCain (back in 2000 the mainstream GOP here wanted George W. Bush, but those undeclared voters stormed the polls and gave the primary to McCain). Personally, I have always objected to the idea that people who do not feel committed enough to our ideals that they wish to register as Republicans should be allowed to walk into my primary and choose who they believe ought to be my party's nominee. Perhaps, after Hillary goes down in flames, some of my brethren in the Democratic party will begin to think the same way.

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