GINGRICH'S LAST STAND?

Today Alabama and Mississippi hold presidential primaries. The RCP average for Alabama polls shows Romney with a slight lead, but really all three candidates are neck-and-neck-and-neck (with Ron Paul getting in the low single digits). There are fewer recent polls for Mississippi, but those that are publicly available show a very similar situation.

This is an unsustainable situation for Newt Gingrich. He must win at least one of these Deep South states to stay in the race and I would argue that he really needs to win them both. As it stands now he could finish third to Romney and Santorum in one or both.

Despite his optimistic spin, I expect he will finally drop out if he loses both states.