Jay Cost has a unique analysis of the conventional wisdom concerning a Democratic takeover of the House. He thinks the GOP is in better shape than most pundits believe. Michael Barone also does not think this election will result in a political realignment.

My gut still tells me that the Republicans are going to lose the House. I do not believe that is good for America, but I think it will happen. Bill Quick has this post which explains why so many on the Right are so exasperated with the President and the Congress, especially concerning the war. Scroll down through yesterday's posts on Instapundit to read an excellent discussion between Glenn Reynolds and his readers about the issue. The Democrats are energized and the Republicans are discouraged, while the Independents have been convinced by the MSM that the GOP is the party of Washington corruption and, more importantly, failure in Iraq. It feels like 1994, only in reverse.