Another day, another caucus, another Obama victory. This time it is the Maine caucuses, which Obama won handily, 59% to 40%. This one was a real shock to the Clinton folks, who thought they would win, as they had done in neighboring New Hampshire and Massachusetts. Having lived in Maine I can tell you that the population is a bit less affluent overall than here in New Hampshire (although that is not the case in the Greater Portland area) and, therefore, should have fit into the demographics that propelled Hillary to victory here. But that was then, this is now, and that was a primary, this was a caucus. Obama continues to gain momentum which may very well be eroding Hillary's strength with lower-income whites. The Virginia and Maryland primaries on Tuesday will give us a clearer picture. Later on, the primaries in Ohio and Texas will either save Hillary and prolong the fight, or finish her off.

The litany of bad news over the weekend no doubt solidified the view inside the Clinton camp that they needed to make a change at the top. Unfortunately for them, they can only fire the campaign manager, not the candidate (of course, technically speaking Patti Solis Doyle resigned her position, but that's how these things are done).

In the delegate fight, CBS News now calculates that Obama has taken the lead over Clinton. That assessment is shared by the folks at RealClearPolitics, who have Obama at 1146 and Clinton with 1142. Bill Kristol, writing in the New York Times (much to the chagrin of some), sees Obama's path to victory. Ben Smith at Politico also sees a break in the deadlock in Obama's favor as a result of this weekend's caucuses. In a cautionary note, Bob Novak says there are some rumblings inside the Democratic Party about the so-called Bradley effect, which refers to former Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley who was positioned to win the California Governor's office big based on polls back in 1982, but lost, which many suspected was due to the fact that white voters told pollsters they would vote for a black candidate, but did not. Of course, this is not 1982. While Obama did lead here in New Hampshire, and later in California, according to the polls, and Clinton won both, that doesn't necessarily mean that the Bradley effect was the cause. Still, it is something to watch, especially as we go into the primaries on Tuesday. Obama is way ahead according to the polls in Virginia, anywhere from 15 to 20 points ahead, and ahead by an even larger margin according to the polls in Maryland, anywhere from 18 to 26 points. If Clinton wins either of these states (or both), or even comes close, then we might be seeing the Bradley effect at work.

On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee is protesting the results from the Washington State caucuses, which showed a narrow McCain win.

Andrew McCarthy, writing in the National Review, has some thoughts on conservatives and John McCain.

John Fund, writing in the Wall St. Journal, has some thoughts on how John McCain could win the election in November, despite all the signs that point to a big win for the Democrats. At some point I'll do my own state-by-state analysis (I've done some preliminary work already), but I want to wait until the Democrats have their nominee.

Finally, here are the inconvenient truths of the 2008 election, at least from one man's perspective (I agree with him, which is why I recommend you read it).