NEVADA AND S.C. PREDICTIONS

It is primary day for Republicans in South Carolina and caucus day for Republicans and Democrats in Nevada. The latest polls show some interesting results for the GOP race in South Carolina. Both the American Research Group and the Zogby International polls show that Mike Huckabee is surging as we near the finish line. If this is real, it could push Huckabee over the top, especially since the weather is bad today and turnout could be depressed. Huckabee's evangelical supporters, it seems to me, would be less likely to be deterred by the weather. This race is difficult to predict. So, based on this late surge in the polls, I will stick with my original prediction. Huckabee in a narrow win over McCain.

In Nevada, the latest polls show that Romney has a narrow lead over McCain and Clinton has a narrow lead over Obama. Since this is a caucus, I expect the cadre of voters who participate will be dominated by committed party members, therefore, the poll results should be validated. I would expect a fairly comfortable victory for Clinton on the Democratic side and Romney on the GOP side.