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Tuesday, January 15, 2008

It's primary day in Michigan and that state's election officials are not sure how many people will turn out. In fact, they are so unsure, they will not make a turnout prediction. Apparently, it's the first time they have had both parties on the same day, and all the Democrats, except Hillary, chose not to participate since Michigan violated Democratic Party rules by moving their primary forward. The latest polls on the GOP side show that Mitt Romney and John McCain are neck-and-neck. I think McCain will win, but a Romney win would certainly keep the race interesting.

Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, Obama has taken a narrow lead over Clinton in Nevada. This race is already very interesting, and could get even more compelling and nastier as the two slug it out for the nomination (pity poor John Edwards, who can't seem to bull his way into the conversation). The issue of race has taken front and center, with both sides apparently now looking for a way out. I don't think they can get out of the conversation they have started and, like Eugene Robinson of the Washington Post, I am not at all certain that the Clintons really want to stop it. Robinson wonders if the Clintons have already written off the African-American vote. That may be the only way to go. Certainly, the results from South Carolina will tell us if that might be their only path. Still, the fight over Hillary's remarks regarding civil rights (that it took Lyndon Johnson to pass the Civil Rights Act of 1964), is a little silly. Former Johnson aide Joseph Califano tries to set the record straight in this op-ed piece. Essentially, Martin Luther King, Jr. and Lyndon Johnson worked together to achieve passage of that act. It is impossible to imagine it happening at that time without the activism of King and the political arm-twisting of Johnson in tandem. But, as is usually the case, why let the facts get in the way of a good argument (especially if it leads to the Democrats engaging in a fit of self-immolation).

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